Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.247520 0.279616 0.313708 0.352554 0.395527 0.441546 0.494489
2025-08-24 0.203446 0.246436 0.294841 0.353161 0.421289 0.498117 0.591061
2025-08-31 0.171431 0.220623 0.278859 0.352421 0.442352 0.548173 0.681523
2025-09-07 0.151101 0.205132 0.271967 0.359910 0.471672 0.607979 0.785688
2025-09-14 0.132060 0.188387 0.260935 0.360008 0.490386 0.654551 0.875095
2025-09-21 0.116771 0.174404 0.251444 0.360276 0.508071 0.699546 0.963703
2025-09-28 0.104169 0.162426 0.243047 0.360550 0.524775 0.743101 1.051587
2025-10-05 0.095305 0.154617 0.239342 0.366377 0.548576 0.796448 1.154183
2025-10-12 0.088828 0.149510 0.238764 0.376104 0.577767 0.857880 1.269903
2025-10-19 0.081438 0.142157 0.234080 0.379158 0.597095 0.905944 1.368589
2025-10-26 0.076295 0.137756 0.233307 0.387654 0.624371 0.965969 1.486123
2025-11-02 0.072129 0.134475 0.233865 0.397942 0.654489 1.030970 1.612967
2025-11-09 0.065443 0.126496 0.226599 0.395908 0.666349 1.070617 1.705991
2025-11-16 0.059826 0.119775 0.220782 0.395642 0.680707 1.114369 1.806679
2025-11-23 0.054622 0.113234 0.214674 0.394336 0.693099 1.155376 1.904560
2025-11-30 0.051520 0.110212 0.214264 0.402334 0.720622 1.220529 2.041467
2025-12-07 0.047441 0.104907 0.209398 0.402307 0.734796 1.265131 2.147956
2025-12-14 0.043799 0.100060 0.204918 0.402530 0.749178 1.310360 2.256757
2025-12-21 0.040509 0.095560 0.200679 0.402795 0.763443 1.355698 2.367047
2025-12-28 0.038299 0.093045 0.199921 0.409192 0.788403 1.419204 2.508496
2026-01-04 0.036775 0.091821 0.201502 0.419890 0.821246 1.496756 2.675180
2026-01-11 0.034518 0.088767 0.199263 0.423246 0.841107 1.553192 2.808837
2026-01-18 0.033076 0.087374 0.200189 0.432593 0.872034 1.629253 2.977319